Project: Global agricultural model intercomparisons

What is the challenge? Climate change poses significant challenges to agriculture and food security, but our understanding of these challenges, their impacts, and options to address them is limited by the data and modeling tools available. This activity contributes to systematic intercomparisons across leading global modeling efforts, linking climate, crop and economic models, as a basis for improvement in the models and ultimately in our understanding of impacts and possible responses.

Agriculture and climate models under scrutiny: why are they not coming together?

By Nicholas Hudson, AgMIP

As global climate continues to change, the question of the potential economic consequences of this change on the world’s food supply is one that scientists have been endeavoring to answer. Previous research has produced wide variations in results concerning the future of prices, production, and trade.

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Major economic models on climate change and agriculture point in same direction, but differ on magnitude of effects

Press Release

Climate change will alter future weather and change crop and animal productivity. But economic models differ on the magnitude of these changes, according to the world’s lead economic modelers. Estimates on both the direction and magnitude are crucial to address world food security issues at global, regional, and national levels. Outputs from climate, crop and economic models are central to understanding the range of possible outcomes.

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The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

By Lucy Holt, CCAFS

It’s not often you hear the words good and climate change in one sentence. But some areas of Africa will actually become better for agriculture if climate change trends continue as expected. Of course, the key word in that sentence is some. Others will become worse.

One might think that the good and the bad will balance each other out. Not so, according to Timothy Thomas of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). The good and the bad will create the ugly.

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Agriculture in focus: climate change planning in Kenya

By CCAFS East Africa team

Kenyan and international media focus on how climate change affects farmers, as policy makers and researchers seek solutions.

Kenya held a successful National Adaptation Planning meeting for the Agriculture Sector on the 16 and 17 September 2013. The meeting aimed at building consensus on the priority actions for agriculture proposed in the 2013 – 2017 National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP). The idea was for these actions to be fast-tracked for piloting.

Read more on CCAFS website