What is the challenge? It is now widely recognized that natural resource use in many developing countries, from crop production to deforestation, is responsible for the bulk of greenhouse gas emissions. We also know that in many countries, it is the agriculture and forestry sectors—not industry or transport—that provide low-cost mitigation opportunities. As countries experience […]
Project: Global agricultural model intercomparisons
What is the challenge? Climate change poses significant challenges to agriculture and food security, but our understanding of these challenges, their impacts, and options to address them is limited by the data and modeling tools available. This activity contributes to systematic intercomparisons across leading global modeling efforts, linking climate, crop and economic models, as a […]
East African agriculture and climate change
A comprehensive analysis The second of three books in IFPRI's climate change in Africa series, East African Agriculture and Climate Change: A Comprehensive Analysis examines the food security threats facing 10 of the countries that make up east and central Africa - Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Eritrea, Kenya, Madagascar, Rwanda, Sudan, Tanzania, and Uganda […]
Agriculture and climate models under scrutiny: why are they not coming together?
By Nicholas Hudson, AgMIP
As global climate continues to change, the question of the potential economic consequences of this change on the world’s food supply is one that scientists have been endeavoring to answer. Previous research has produced wide variations in results concerning the future of prices, production, and trade.
Major economic models on climate change and agriculture point in same direction, but differ on magnitude of effects
Press Release
Climate change will alter future weather and change crop and animal productivity. But economic models differ on the magnitude of these changes, according to the world’s lead economic modelers. Estimates on both the direction and magnitude are crucial to address world food security issues at global, regional, and national levels. Outputs from climate, crop and economic models are central to understanding the range of possible outcomes.
